11/13/2023 0 Comments Matt albers pitching repertoire![]() So the 2011 leaderboard, as an example, would show Davis’s xFIP splits from his 64 combined starts between 20. I relied on three-year samples with at least 20 total starts, and I excluded pitchers with xFIPs under 4.00 in their subsequent times through the order under the theory that they were good enough to start even if they were experiencing a decline. To test this, I compiled starter xFIPs in their first times through the order and in all subsequent times through the order. My thought was that many starters have success the first time a batter sees them on a given day, but if their performance drops off dramatically when they face the same batter two and three times, they might be best served in the bullpen where they would never have to face the same hitter twice in one day. That is not something I believed I could trivially predict, so I instead decided to look at the split between a starter’s performance his first time through the batting order and his subsequent times through the order. Obviously, some starters succeed in a transition to the bullpen because they see an increase in velocity. ![]() Finally, I’ve decided to see if I could find some statistical proof that that is the case. Without any real justification, I’ve been convinced for some time that Kelly belongs in the bullpen and could be an exceptional reliever. That’s 461.2 innings of mediocre results, but the Red Sox seem to be planning to rely on Kelly as a starter again in 2016. ![]() Kelly has had FIPs and xFIPs over 4.00 in each of his four seasons. Meanwhile, Kelly shows similar and similarly underwhelming strikeout rates as Davis did as a starter. However, both pitchers use a four-seamer, a slider or cutter, and a curveball and have most of their success with their fastballs. ![]() Kelly throws much harder than Davis did as a starter and has a four-pitch repertoire that includes a change-up. After trading for Davis that offseason, the Royals tried Davis at starter again for much of the 2013 season with poor results, and they’ve put him the bullpen ever since, where he’s again become dominant.ĭavis and Kelly aren’t the same pitcher. With a triple-digits fastball and a wipeout slider highlighting a polished four-pitch repertoire, he's posted a 2.15 ERA with 104 strikeouts in 83.2 innings while reaching Double-A this year. The next season, the Rays moved Davis to the bullpen where he struck out more than 11 batters per nine and produced a 2.78 FIP. Davis started 29 games in back to back seasons for the Rays in 20, striking out fewer than six batters per nine and putting up FIPs and xFIPs in the neighborhood of 4.70. Their curve (take this with a grain of salt because they've only thrown 3 of them in 2019) generates an extremely high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' curves, is much harder than usual, results in more flyballs compared to other pitchers' curves, has little depth and has primarily 12-6 movement.I’ve been thinking about Wade Davis and Joe Kelly lately. His MLB.com scouting report describes a pitcher the cusp of knowing what to do with a four-pitch repertoire, even though the fastball doesn’t hit the mid-90s consistently. Their fourseam fastball has heavy sinking action, has essentially average velo and has slight armside run. Their change dives down out of the zone, results in somewhat more flyballs compared to other pitchers' changeups and has slight armside fade. Their slider has some two-plane movement. Their sinker has an obvious tail, generates a high number of swings & misses compared to other pitchers' sinkers, results in many more groundballs compared to other pitchers' sinkers and has some natural sinking action. Albers drilled Logan Verrett’s 2-2 pitch. In 2019, they relied primarily on their Sinker (93mph) and Slider (83mph), also mixing in a Change (84mph) and Fourseam Fastball (93mph). Matt Albers, a reliever who had last made a plate appearance in 2009, led off the 13th inning with a double and eventually scored on a sacrifice fly. Although they have not thrown an MLB pitch in 2023, Matt Albers threw 11,464 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 20, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training.
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